China virus stuff, more on masks

This is interesting.  The article is from just a couple days ago, but note this timeline:

Minnesota-based company 3M has doubled its production of coronavirus-protecting N95 respirator masks over the last two months – to a rate of more than 1.1 billion a year, or almost 100 million a month, according to a report.

They doubled their production it looks like very shortly after Trump shut down travel from China.

 

This article is mainly about washing your clothes to kill the virus, and whether or not the laundromat is safe (she doesn’t mention a mask, and I’m going to say that’s foolish. Wear a mask.  More on masks below).  But I found interesting is how long viruses in general stay on copper- which is not long at all.  Next time you put in handles and doorknobs on your house, maybe go with copper:

“The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease has told us that some viruses can remain active after two or three days on plastic and stainless steel, 24 hours on cardboard and four hours on copper,” she said. Be aware that some of your buttons, zippers and other clothing hardware could be made of those materials.

Italy, oh, Italy. It’s just heartbreaking.  While our media is freaking out over the President calling a virus that came from China a China virus (have you seen them? They say it with such spite and loathing)- that kind of political correctness may have contributed to Italy’s appalling death rates.  China encouraged Italians to hug people from China to prove they weren’t prejudiced– at a time nobody should have been hugging any strangers.  China knew how virulent it was.  This is chilling.

 

The FDA’s bloated inspection protocols are stalling on delivery of needed Corona virus related medical supples that are in warehouses right now.

Half of China virus sufferers started with vomiting, nausea or diarrhea.

 

Masks- after telling us they are useless, which was a lie, the CDC now is asking people to sew our own and donate them to hospitals.  More instructions on making a mask.

And more.

NYT explains why the instructions that we don’t need masks backfired.  Duh. It was open manipulation and inherently self contradictory.  The Times made all their Corona Virus coverage free, but you still have to register. a friend shared some of the most pertinent bits:

“Third, of course masks work — maybe not perfectly and not all to the same degree, but they provide some protection. Their use has always been advised as part of the standard response to being around infected people, especially for people who may be vulnerable. World Health Organization officials wear masks during their news briefings.”

“It is of course true that masks don’t work perfectly, that they don’t replace hand-washing and social distancing, and that they work better if they fit properly. And of course, surgical masks (the disposable type that surgeons wear) don’t filter out small viral particles the way medical-grade respirator masks rated N95 and above do. However, even surgical masks protect a bit more than not wearing masks at all. We know from flu research that mask-wearing can help decrease transmission rates along with frequent hand-washing and social-distancing. Now that we are facing a respirator mask shortage, the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is recommending that surgical masks are “an acceptable alternative”

for health care workers — again, obviously because some protection, even if imperfect, is better than none.”

“Fourth, the W.H.O. and the C.D.C. told the public to wear masks if they were sick. However, there is increasing evidence of asymptomatic transmission, especially through younger people who have milder cases and don’t know they are sick but are still infectious. Since the W.H.O. and the C.D.C. do say that masks lessen the chances that infected people will infect others, then everyone should use masks. If the public is told that only the sick people are to wear masks, then those who do wear them will be stigmatized and people may well avoid wearing them if it screams “I’m sick.” Further, it’s very difficult to be tested for Covid-19 in the United States. How are people supposed to know for sure when to mask up? “

“Hong Kong health officials credit universal mask wearing as part of the solution and recommend universal mask wearing. In fact, Taiwan responded to the coronavirus by immediately ramping up mask production.”

“Given that there is indeed a mask shortage and that medical workers absolutely do need these masks more, what should the authorities have said? The full painful truth. Despite warnings from experts for decades, especially after the near miss of SARS, we still weren’t prepared for this pandemic, and we did not ramp up domestic production when we could, and now there’s a mask shortage — and that’s disastrous because our front line health care workers deserve the best protection.”

“If anything, a call for people who hoarded masks to donate some of them to their local medical workers would probably work better than telling people that they don’t need them or that they won’t manage to make them work. “Look, more masks would be great. We are doing our best to ramp up production. Till then, if our medical workers fall ill, we will all be worse off. Please donate any excess — maybe more than two weeks’ worth per person — to your hospital” sounds corny, but it’s the truth.

Two weeks is a reasonable standard because the C.D.C. and the W.H.O. still recommend wearing masks if you’re taking care of someone with a milder illness self-isolating at home, something that will increasingly be necessary as hospitals get overwhelmed.”

“Research shows that during disasters, people can show strikingly altruistic behavior, but interventions by authorities can backfire if they fuel mistrust or treat the public as an adversary rather than people who will step up if treated with respect. Given that even homemade masks may work better than no masks, wearing them might be something to direct people to do while they stay at home more, as we all should.”

A reminder that in January, China told WHO, and WHO reported to the world, that human to human contact did not spread this China virus. https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1217043229427761152
 
Taiwanese doctors had already reported the opposite, as had Chinese doctors (who were arrested and forced to write apologies, and who died).
 
WHO reporting that it wasn’t contagious between humans might just have an awful lot to do with countries not making ventilators and test kits a priority soon enough.
and… the top ten lies the media and democrats are telling about Trump’s response to the Wuhan Flu: https://pjmedia.com/trending/the-top-10-lies-about-president-trumps-response-to-the-coronavirus/
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(Untitled)

Asian flu
Bolivian hemorrhagic fever
Brazilian hemorrhagic fever
Ebola
German measles
Japanese encephalitis
Lyme disease
Marburg virus
Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)
Pontiac fever
Rift Valley fever
Rocky Mountain spotted fever
Spanish flu
Venezuelan hemorrhagic fever
West Nile virus
Wuhan virus (or Wuhan penumonitis)

 

These are all diseases, illnesses, named after the geography of where they were believed to originate. Spanish Flu probably started inChina and not Spain, but they thought it started in Spain at the time.

 

But Who says… Who was in charge of WHO when they said we should stop calling diseases names most ofus can grasp and start using weird Star Wars designations?  Just guess.
Also, WHO?  “at the end of December the WHO was warned by Taiwan officials that the Wuhan coronavirus was spreading through human-to-human contact. The WHO, an ally first to China — whose communist party is hostile toward Taiwan — said two weeks later there was “no evidence” this was the case. They did this by citing unreliable, dishonest, official Chinese government sources. Nearly two weeks after that, the WHO argued against restrictions on international air travel. This of course ultimately led to the devastating pandemic we are in now.

In the time in-between the warning from Taiwan and the statement from WHO everything was fine, China destroyed samples of the virus, shut down labs, arrested doctors and welded shut buildings where victims of the disease lived. ”

I wonder how many Italians would be alive today if their government had ignored WHO?

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Afternoon craft

Make a paper photo frame– this is a very simple series of folds. You start with a square piece of paper. The picture you are framing will be inserted on the diagonal, and the frame will hold a picture less than half the size of the original square, depending on how wide or narrow you make one set of folds.  You can frame a photograph, or have the kids draw a picture the right side to fit in the square, or print out or write a verse to fit inside the square.  You could make the frame, lightly trace the space where the picture should fit, unfold it and colour or write in the square space directly, then refold. Very simple process, but many variations.

I pretty much freehand, guess and by golly it (and it shows), but if you want some practice in precision and math skills, have your kids measure carefully as they go along.

 

Possible verses:

For I am the LORD your God, who takes hold of your right hand and says to you: “Do not fear, I will help you.”

Isaiah 41:13

Be strong and courageous. Do not be frightened, and do not be dismayed, for the LORD your God is with you wherever you go.”

Joshua 1:9

Psalm 56:4
In God, whose word I praise, in God I trust; I will not be afraid. What can man do to me?

Psalm 118:6
The LORD is with me; I will not be afraid. What can man do to me?

Send it to somebody from church, or a grandparent, or somebody you think just might need a tiny bit of encouragement during the Corona Virus Covid-19 Wuhan Flu China Virus pandemic. If you’re suddenly homeschooling because your school shut down, maybe this small activity will help you redirect and distract an anxious student (or mum), and restore some good attitudes. We are all in this isolation thing together, right?

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I don’t want to be run around shouting doomsday, but doomsday.

https://medium.com/@Jason_Scott_Warner/the-sober-math-everyone-must-understand-about-the-pandemic-2b0145881993

“One of the current problems with addressing the pandemic is the social pressures of taking action today. It’s awkward, and feels like an over-reaction. The reason it feels like an overreaction is that most people OVERWEIGHT the currently reported cases and inherently UNDERWEIGHT the mathematics of how the virus is spreading and what will happen in about 30 days time. ”

 

we must assume that the healthcare system cannot help us, because the hospitals will become overwhelmed very quickly. Most American hospitals will become overwhelmed in approximately 30 days unless something changes. ”

 

Social Distancing: “starting now is FAR more effective than starting even 2 days from now or tomorrow. This has been proven by Italy and China (and soon to be France and other European countries who have been slow to respond.) [updated as of 3/14 France is now on lockdown mandated by the government]. Wuhan went on lockdown after roughly 400 cases were identified (and they had access to testing that America has systematically failed to do well to date). The US already has more than 4 times this number of known infected cases as Wuhan did when it was shut down, and our citizens are far more mobile and therefore spreading the virus more broadly when compared to Wuhan.”

“5. The virus is already in your town. It’s everywhere. Cases are typically only discovered when someone gets sick enough to seek medical attention. This is important as it typically takes ~5 days to START showing ANY symptoms. Here’s the math: For every known case there are approximately 50 unknown cases. This is because if I become sick, I infect several people today, and they infect a few people each tomorrow (as do I), and the total count of infected people doubles every 3 days until I get so sick I get hospitalized or get tested and become a “known case”. But in the time it takes me to figure out I am sick 50 others downline from me now have the virus. So every third day the infection rate doubles until I get so sick that I realize I have the virus an am hospitalized or otherwise tested. Harvard and Massachusetts General Hospital estimate that there are 50x more infections than known infections as reported (citation below). The implication of this is that the virus is already “everywhere” and spreading regardless if your city has zero, few or many reported cases. So instead of the 1573 reported known cases today there are likely 78,650 cases, at least, in the United States. Which will double to 157,300 by this Sunday. And this will double to 314,600 cases by this coming Wednesday.”

 

Click through, and keep reading.

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Pandemic grocery shopping

I mostly do my grocery shopping by grocery pick up- I shop online, then I park at the grocery store and they bring it out to me.  I prefer this to shopping with the Cherub at the best of times, and this the not the best of times (I don’t think it’s the worst, either, I think the worst is coming).

There’s only one store in my little town that does this and the shoppers… well. I once put ten lbs of whole chicken in my online shopping cart and the gal texted me back that they don’t have any ten lb chickens, the largest was only 2 or 3 pounds.  I explained I wanted enough whole chickens that it added up to around ten pounds (we were having a crowd that night and I was going to roast them all).

Last week, I thought I beat the curve by ordering from Walmart in the really large town nearby- it’s cheaper, I could go see one of my kids while there.  But between the time I placed my order and the time I scheduled pick-up, the schools were shut down, groups larger than 250 were asked not to meet (it’s now down to ten, I think and it’s only been a week), and all h, e, and double toothpicks broke loose.  I got a call my order would be late.  An hour after my order should have been finished I got a text that it was ready for pick up.  Two hours later I was still sitting in the parking lot.  I called and told them I had to go use a bathroom but wasn’t using their public bathroom, would I miss my pick up if I did that.  She asked if I’d be back by about half an hour from then, and I would, so she said it ws fine, just call and let an associate know when I got back.  Well, I tried.  Nobody answered the phone for about 40 minutes.  I ended up calling a different extension and asking for a manager.  The new managre said he had my name and knew my story (that I had a medically compromised offspring in the car with me), and my order was nearly reading, it would be done in five or ten minutes. Two hours later it wasn’t.  I called again and was first told grocery pick up staff had finished and all gone home. This was nuts because every one of the grocery pick up parking spots were full and had been for hours (12 of them). But I did not think of that, I panicked a little (we needed diapers. I can do without toilet paper, but not diapers for the Cherub). I tried not to lose it but I know I sounded shrill and desperate.  She started talking over me and explaining how busy they were and how short staffed and how much chaos was going on and how managers had stayed late to help – and I knew all of that and I was very sorry for them all, but I needed diapers, and that one manager had told me my order was almost ready.  I kept trying to tell her that, and she kept talking over me but I finally managed to catch her in a moment she stopped to breathe to tell her that yes, yes, yes, I totally did understand all of that and I was terribly sorry about it all but the thing was- I’d rather have been told my order wasn’t going to be ready until 2 a.m. then to be told it was going to be ready in five minutes when it wasn’t anywhere near that, and I wanted to know why I was told that.  She sent me to another manager, who was more helpful, more informed, and I think more honest.  She told me it was going to be at least another four hours. I asked her if I could just take whatever part of my order was complete (because everybody agreed my refrigerated items had all been put in a case hours and hours and hours ago, and especially  a package of the diapers my daughter wears because I desperately needed those.

She thought a moment and then asked me to tell her what size and brand diapers I needed and then she personally would go find them and bring them out to the car for me.  She brought out the last three packages (I’d actually wanted a case, which is what I always buy, but the cases were gone), and my small bags of refrigerated or frozen stuff (including a very sadly wilted and floppy napa valley cabbage that had obviously not been stored in a cool enough location).  She refused to accept any payment for them.

I went home.  I tried to cancel my order online multiple times but the system just would not let me do that.  Three days later somebody called to ask if I was coming in to pick it up that day and she wasn’t best pleased to hear that i was not driving 40 minutes one way on the highway in a snowstorm to get that order, but she agreed to cancel the rest.

I am sorry for them, and I don’t really blame anybody but the manager who promised me five minutes. It was awful for everybody.  But then, I still needed some of the groceries I hadn’t gotten.

So I placed the order with my more expensive little small town grocery store, omitting some things they either didn’t carry or charged way too much for (nearly 7 dollars for the same fish sauce that is 3 dollars at Walmart).  Again, nothing I wanted was really, really the kind of thing people were stocking up on (except rice and milk).  She texted me to tell me they had no gallons of whole milk but she could get me half a gallon of skim milk.  I said thanks, but no skim milk at all, I’d take a couple cans of evaporated milk instead.  I mainly wanted milk for making canned tomato soup because that with grilled cheese is comfort food.   By the time my order was done, it was still not showing what she’d subbed for the milk on my online order, but I went to town and picked it up.  I came home and put away the cold things and left the canned for later. This morning I discovered I have ten cans of evaporated milk, and just like that, I became a crazy hoarder.

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